Wednesday November 8, 4:36 PM
S.Korea housing loans up, fuelling rate speculation
SEOUL, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Home-backed loans to South
Koreans
rose at the fastest pace in five months in October from
September, central bank data showed on Wednesday, adding to
government worries about the red-hot housing market.
Loans rose 1.32 percent in October from September, the
biggest rise since 1.57 percent in May. The lending includes
both mortgages to buy homes and shorter loans for other
purposes but also secured on the borrower's home.
The surge in such lending helped push overall bank loans to
households up by 1.22 percent.
The data comes amid speculation that rising home prices may
persuade the central bank to raise interest rates soon,
although no change is expected at its next policy meeting on
Thursday.
"The loan data itself did not have a huge impact on
investors' sentiment today but clearly helped add to worries
about the possibility of interest rate increases in the
future," said Kong Dong-rak, a fixed-income analyst at SK
Securities.
December Treasury bond futures fell a sharp 16
ticks to finish at 108.72 because of such worries.
Home-backed loans rose to 209.68 trillion won ($223.4
billion) at the end of October, equivalent to a quarter of the
country's gross domestic product, from 206.94 trillion won a
month before, the Bank of Korea data showed.
The sharp rise pushed overall bank loans to households to
an outstanding 335.01 trillion won by the end of October from
330.99 trillion won a month earlier, the biggest gain since a
1.37 percent rise in June.
SURPRISE FEARED
All 10 economists in a Reuters survey forecast the Bank of
Korea would hold its overnight call rate target steady at 4.50
percent on Thursday, although there was no consensus about
where rates would go after that. [ID:nSEO294379]
But Kong at SK said the weaker treasury futures on
Wednesday reflected growing worries among investors about a
surprise increase in rates on Thursday.
President Roh Moo-hyun vowed on Monday that his government
would do whatever it could to calm the housing market and one
of his aides visited the central bank later that day, sparking
speculation that interest rates may rise soon.
However, Kim Soo-hyun, Roh's secretary for social policy,
told Reuters he had visited the Bank of Korea for personal
reasons and had no discussion at all about interest rate
policy, which by law is decided by the central bank's monetary
policy committee alone.
Separately, Roh called a gathering of ministers in charge
of real estate policy, including Finance Minister Kwon O-kyu,
to a meeting early on Thursday. [ID:nSEO132414]
Housing prices in October were on average 13.6 percent
higher than a year earlier, data from top local lender Kookmin
Bank showed last week. That compares with October's
consumer price inflation rate of 2.1 percent.
The central bank has raised its overnight call rate target
five times since October 2005 to rein in inflation and help
calm the housing market, pushing the target to a five-year high
of 4.50 percent by August.
But after that fifth increase the central bank said it was
ready to reconsider its monetary policy stance in view of
slowing economic growth and low consumer price inflation.
(Additional reporting by Lee Jin-joo)
($1=938.0 Won)
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