Friday March 23, 4:12 AM
LME prices rally on Fed statement and China demand
LONDON, March 22 (Reuters) - Copper, nickel and zinc prices
rallied on Thursday on data suggesting strong Chinese demand
and a change to more neutral language in the Federal Reserve's
latest policy communique on U.S. interest-rates.
Copper for three-month delivery on the London Metal
Exchange surged to $6,784.50 a tonne, its highest since Dec.
14, before closing at $6,730, up 1.8 percent from Wednesday.
Nickel gained $1,400 or 3.2 percent to close at $45,300 and
zinc rose 2.4 percent to $3,195.
Prices were supported after the U.S. Federal Reserve held
interest rates steady late on Wednesday and issued a statement
that contained no explicit reference to the possibility of
taking rates higher.
The statement referred to "future policy adjustments,"
dropping the phrase "additional firming" from the Fed's last
statement. Analysts viewed the change as a more neutral stance
that could mean higher or lower interest rates.
"There is a sense that the U.S. authorities are closer to
lowering interest rates and ... the Fed will be able to ensure
that economic slowdown in the US will be contained," analyst
Stephen Briggs at Societe Generale said.
Copper for May delivery finished at its highest
closing level since Dec. 13. It advanced 5.40 cents to end at
$3.0730 a lb on the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX
division. It rallied as high as $3.0950 its highest since Dec.
14.
European shares firmed after U.S. and Asian stock markets
rallied on prospects of rate cuts in the U.S., with major
mining companies Antofagasta, Lonmin and Rio Tinto rising over
2 percent on the London Stock Exchange.
Traders highlighted reports on Chinese copper imports also
supported the upward trend.
"Copper has resumed its uptrend. The market took the
Chinese import data in its stride," a trader on the LME floor
said.
The positive trend in China's refined copper imports
reflected an end to the period of de-stocking of copper, a
Barclays Capital report said.
China's refined copper net imports in February 2007 came in
at an all-time high at around 147,700 tonnes, the report said.
Copper stocks in London Metal Exchange-registered
warehouses fell 1,525 tonnes to 187,775 on Thursday. Stocks
have fallen by around 20,000 tonnes since the start of March.
"Copper inventories continue to ease off ... and that is
supporting the market. ... People are primarily focussing on
short term tightness," analyst Andrew Keen at Sanford C.
Bernstein said.
Also reflecting tight supplies, the premium for cash copper
over three-months futures stood at around $70/75, slightly off
from Tuesday when it went over $81. But the cash price was at a
discount from November until earlier in the month.
NICKEL UP
Nickel prices have risen more than 30 percent since the end
of last year on demand from stainless steel makers and
critically low stocks.
"The nickel market is really in volatile territory at the
moment," Keen said. "These levels are going to cause problems
for demand. But the market is still tight, there is not enough
fresh production to ease it off, these kind of prices are not
sustainable in the longer term."
Stocks of nickel in LME warehouses rose 12 tonnes to 4,314,
of which only 2,922 are on warrant and available to market --
less than a day's global consumption.
China's demand for nickel may rise 20 percent this year, a
senior analyst at a state-owned research group said on
Thursday.
Aluminium was up to $2,778/2,780 from $2,750/2,755, tin was
quoted at $14,000/14,050 from $13,850/13,900 and lead gained to
$1,920/1,930 from $1,915/1,920.
Metal Prices at 1715 GMT
Metal Last Net Change Percent Move
LME Cu 6730.00 120.00 +1.82
SHFE Cu* 61010.00 680.00 +1.13
LME Alum 2778.00 28.00 +1.00
SHFE Alu* 19560.00 -20.00 -0.10
COMEX Cu** 307.00 5.10 +1.69
LME Zinc 3190.00 70.00 +2.24
LME Nickel 45200.00 1300.00 +2.96
LME Lead 1920.00 5.00 +0.2
LME Tin 14000.00 150.00 +1.07
Change so far in 2007
Metal Latest bid End prev year Percent Move
LME Cu 6730.00 6330.00 +6.32
SHFE Cu* 61010.00 60080.00 +1.55
LME Alum 2782.00 2805.00 -0.82
SHFE Alu* 19560.00 20550.00 -4.82
COMEX Cu** 307.00 287.10 +6.93
LME Zinc 3190.00 4230.00 -24.59
LME Nickel 45200.00 33325.00 +35.63
LME Lead 1920.00 1670.00 +14.97
LME Tin 14000.00 11510.00 +21.63 * 3rd
contract months for SHFE copper and aluminium ** 1st contract
month for COMEX copper
(Additional reporting by Anna Stablum in London and Carole
Vaporean in New York)
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