Monday September 17, 1:24 PM
INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - September 17
Sept 17 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators based
on data provided by the State Statistics Agency, government
institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
*=updated today
CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
LATEST PREVIOUS
*tenge/dollar 121.63 121.63
Cbank refinancing rate (pct) 9.00 8.50
MONEY
Monetary base(trln tenge) Aug 31 1.75 Aug 15 1.64
Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
Aug 31 21.23 Aug 15 21.73
National fund ($bln) Aug 31 18.36 Aug 15 18.06
Money supply(M3) (trln tenge) June 1 4.23 May 1 3.98
QUARTERLY DATA
Jan-June'07 Jan-March'07 Jan-June'06
GDP (trln tenge) 5.495 2.532 4.368
GDP (pct) +10.2 +10.3 +9.3
MONTHLY DATA
PERIOD CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
Industrial output (pct) Aug +4.0 +4.5 +0.4
Industrial output (pct) Jan-Aug +5.0 +5.6 +6.6
Trade balance ($bln) Jan-July +7.60 +7.01 +8.61
Exports ($bln) Jan-July 25.51 21.81 20.67
Imports ($bln) Jan-July 17.91 14.80 12.05
Inflation (pct) Aug +0.7 +0.9 +0.2
Inflation (pct) Jan-Aug +6.3 +5.5 +5.3
Unemployment (pct) Aug 7.2 7.1 7.5
Oil production (mln T) Jan-July 39.0 33.4 37.0
Oil production (mnl T) June 5.7 5.3 5.8
Copper output ('000 T) Jan-July 238.9 207.7 235.6
Copper output ('000 T) July 31.1 30.4 39.2
Zinc output ('000 T) Jan-July 212.8 186.0 213.3
Zinc output ('000 T) June 26.9 29.3 29.4
FORECASTS FOR 2007
GDP (trln tenge) 12.661
GDP (pct) +9.9
Annual inflation (average, pct) 5-7
Annual inflation (average,pct) 7.3-8.3
Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) -271.2/2.2
Budget revenues (bln tenge) 2.088
Budget spending (bln tenge) 2.359
Average tenge/dlr rate 117
Industrial output (pct) 7.2
Oil output (mln T) 67.0
Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight) 16.1
ANNUAL COMPARISONS
2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999
GDP +10.6 +9.4 +9.6 +9.3 +9.8 +13.5 +9.8 +2.7
Ind output (pct)7.0 +4.6 10.1 +8.8 +9.8 +13.5 +14.6 +2.2
Inflation (pct) 8.6 +7.6 +6.7 +6.8 +6.6 +6.4 +9.8 +17.8
Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
3.72 2.07 1.64 1.00 0.77 0.57 0.40 0.27
Yr end unemployment (pct)
7.8 8.2 8.4 8.8 9.3 10.4 12.8 3.7
Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
16.5 13.8 12.4 14.8 15.9 15.9 11.6 14.2
Oil output (mln T)
65.0 61.9 59.4 51.5 47.2 40.1 35.3 36.5
Copper output ('000 T)
427.5 418.8 445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8 394.7 361.9
Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
S&P (April 5, 2007) BBB positive outlook
Moody's (June 9, 2006) Baa2 positive outlook
Fitch (Dec 21, 2006) BBB positive outlook
(State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)
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