Friday May 9, 4:30 PM
Emerging FX-Asian currencies recover but vulnerable
SINGAPORE, May 9 (Reuters) - The Korean won recovered from
a 2-1/2-year low on Friday and other Asian currencies bounced
back after sharp losses this week, but analysts warned any
respite from high oil prices and position adjustments will be
brief.
A combination of factors had driven the losses in Asia this
week, including oil prices hitting a record above $124 per
barrel, the U.S. dollar's broad rebound and pressure on market
participants to trim their heavy exposures to Asia.
On top of that, the Chinese yuan's sharp fall in
non-deliverable forwards on talk that growth
concerns were forcing the authorities to slow the pace of yuan
appreciation undermined the regional currencies.
On Friday, the won had recovered modestly to near
1,045 per dollar from the previous session's low of 1,049.9,
which was its weakest since November 2005.
The ringgit rallied 0.9 percent, bouncing to 3.195
per dollar. The Philippine peso managed to rise 0.3
percent from Thursday's close of 42.61 per dollar.
"With the rise in commodity prices, the dollar will be
supported for the moment," said a trader in Manila.
The trader said the force of the dollar's rebound pushed
the peso to the weaker side of strong technical support at
42.50 this week.
"That level was easily broken and it seems they will try
the next resistance at 42.75," he said.
MORE WEAKNESS IN STORE
Still, traders said dollar bids emerged in some local
markets as it dipped. A trader in Kuala Lumpur said ringgit
sales emerged once the currency moved near 3.1950 per dollar.
The Singapore dollar rallied more than a cent from
Thursday's one-month low of 1.38 per U.S. dollar, but then
retreated from a high of 1.3677.
"Short covering has eased after the sharp moves in the past
three days, and dollar/Asia is biased lower in the near term,"
said Han-Sia Yeo, a strategist at Bank Of America.
But Yeo said the Asian currencies were likely to settle
into slightly weaker ranges against the dollar for a while,
given the extent of long positions in the regional units.
Elsewhere, the Indonesian rupiah recovered from
Thursday's seven-week low of 9,271 per dollar but showed little
reaction to hawkish comments from the central bank.
Bank Indonesia Deputy Governor Hartadi Sarwono said on
Friday the country would struggle to bring 2008 inflation below
9 percent even if subsidised fuel prices were not raised to
ease pressure on government finances.
The deputy governor also said rate rises of even up to 150
basis points would not hurt loan growth.
The central bank raised its one-month policy rate this week
to 8.25 percent, the first increase in two years, after
inflation hit a 19-month high in April. CURRENCIES VS U.S.
DOLLAR Change on the day at 0822 GMT
Currency Latest bid Previous day Pct Move
Japan yen 103.12 103.89 +0.75
Sing dlr 1.3687 1.3774 +0.64
Taiwan dlr 30.639 30.824 +0.60
Korean won 1041.40 1045.25 +0.37
Baht 31.93 31.89 -0.11
Peso 42.49 42.61 +0.28
Rupiah 9237.00 9269.00 +0.35
Rupee 41.48 41.76 +0.69
Ringgit 3.1955 3.2200 +0.77
Yuan 6.9893 7.0000 +0.15
Change so far in 2007
Currency Latest bid End prev year Pct Move
Japan yen 103.12 119.01 +15.41
Sing dlr 1.3687 1.5337 +12.06
Taiwan dlr 30.639 32.585 +6.35
Korean won 1041.40 929.50 -10.75
Baht 31.93 36.08 +13.01
Peso 42.49 49.03 +15.39
Rupiah 9237.00 8988.00 -2.70
Rupee 41.48 44.26 +6.70
Ringgit 3.1955 3.5270 +10.37
Yuan 6.9893 7.8051 +11.67 (Reporting
by Vidya Ranganathan; Editing by Tomasz Janowski)
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