Friday May 9, 6:17 PM
India may ease rice curbs as supply worries linger
MANILA (Reuters) - India said on Friday it may allow
limited rice exports, a sign that a global supply crisis could
start to ease, as Philippine traders held off purchases hoping
for new crops soon from southeast Asia.
Despite that optimism, U.S. rice prices surged almost 5
percent as prospects of reduced output in cyclone-devastated
Myanmar and a larger-than-expected purchase of rice by Malaysia
raised fresh supply concerns.
India, the world's second-biggest rice exporter last year,
banned shipments of all rice except the basmati variety in
March, one of a series of protectionist measures worldwide that
triggered a wave of panic buying.
"We are reviewing the situation and may allow limited
exports," Commerce Secretary Gopal Pillai said on the sidelines
of a conference in the southern city of Kochi, adding the
government may also review an export tax on basmati rice.
Prices on the Chicago Board of Trade however remained
stubbornly high.
"Supply worries have intensified with the Myanmar cyclone
and the market is likely to continue to rise and probably test
its record highs soon," said a trader in Seoul, as U.S. rice
futures for July delivery rose 4.9 percent to $23.495 per
hundredweight.
Rice prices had eased slightly after hitting a record of
$25.07 on April 24 on prospects of increased supply from
Thailand, the world's largest rice exporter.
But trade sources said the cyclone that devastated
Myanmar's Irrawaddy delta last weekend destroyed thousands of
tonnes of rice that were in storage and thousands of acres in
the agriculturally rich region were now not plantable.
The U.N. Food and Agricultural Organisation has said it had
expected Myanmar to export 600,000 tonnes of rice this year.
Malaysia bought 500,000 tonnes of rice on Thursday, which
traders said showed how aggressive rice buyers are at a time
when world rice stocks were shrinking and demand for the food
staple was soaring.
UNEASE, UNREST
The soaring global costs of food have fuelled government
unease and street unrest from Haiti to Bangladesh. The
situation has exacerbated as grain exporting countries curb
shipments to ensure domestic supplies and keep inflation under
control.
In the Philippines, where troops have guarded sales of
subsidised rice and authorities have asked restaurants to cut
down on portions served, traders and officials said they
expected prices to fall within a few months.
The country is the world's biggest importer of rice.
"If Thailand and Vietnam harvest earlier, as they have
indicated, then there will be additional volume in the world
market," said Conrad Ibanez, assistant administrator at the
National Food Authority (NFA), after private traders mostly
stayed away from an import tender on Friday.
"Yes, there is a possibility that prices will fall."
The private traders and groups offered to buy only 21,560
tonnes out of a total of 163,000 tonnes on offer at the tender
conducted by the NFA.
"We are hoping that prices will come down," said Robert
Hernandez, a private trader. "With the Philippines resorting to
government-to-government negotiations to procure rice, that
should dampen speculation."
President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo has personally intervened
with Vietnamese Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung to secure up to
1.2 million tonnes of rice for this year. The government has
also appealed for rice from a special fund created by East
Asian nations.
The Philippines has so far bought about 1.7 million tonnes
of rice for this year but has said it will need 2.2 million
tonnes. NFA officials say they now have enough to meet demand
and any remaining imports this year will be to boost buffer
stocks, especially during a lean period in the third quarter.
Only about 30 million tonnes of rice are traded globally
out of total production of about 425 million tonnes.
(Reporting by Rosemarie Francisco in Manila, Miyoung Kim in
Seoul, Debiprasad Nayak in Kochi)
(Editing by Alex Richardson)
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