Tuesday May 13, 11:58 AM
Emerging FX-Asia mostly down, but Singapore dollar rises
SINGAPORE, May 13 (Reuters) - Most Asian currencies fell on
Tuesday amid worries about a global slowdown, but investors
bought the Singapore dollar on expectations it would rebound
against the U.S. dollar as the Singapore government fights
inflation.
The Singapore dollar rose as far as 1.3637 to the
U.S. dollar, up about 0.4 percent from late Asian trade on
Monday.
Traders said its near-term outlook would hinge on the U.S.
dollar, which held steady against the Japanese yen and
euro on Tuesday.
"There was some unwinding last week so it should not be as
volatile now, but players might start loading positions (in the
Singapore dollar) again, thinking that the whole episode is
over," said a Singapore-based trader, referring to the U.S.
dollar's recent rally.
Many investors expect the Singapore dollar to rise further,
on top of a gain of 5.2 percent versus the U.S. dollar so far
this year, because of the government's battle against
inflation.
The Malaysian ringgit pulled back to around 3.22 per
dollar after going as high as 3.199.
The South Korean won hovered near 1,046 per dollar,
down about 0.4 percent from late Asian trade on Friday.
Markets in South Korea were closed on Monday for a holiday.
Tim Condon, head of Asia research at ING, said he believed
the won's decline -- amounting to just over 10 percent versus
the dollar so far this year -- was overdone.
But he cautioned that investors should not be betting on a
won recovery yet because the rhetoric from policy makers seemed
to suggest they wanted to see the won weaker.
"Getting in the way of it seems like a dangerous strategy,"
he said.
Elsewhere, the Chinese yuan fell as far as
6.9949 per dollar, down a tenth of a percent from Monday's
close, after a strong earthquake on Monday in the southwestern
province of Sichuan, where the death toll neared 10,000.
But analysts still expect further yuan gains as Beijing
tries to tame inflation, which accelerated to 8.5 percent in
April.
Analysts at UBS maintained their forecast that the yuan
would rise to 6.58 per dollar by the end of 2008.
"We think this week's data-set could signal to the market
that the policy of allowing the yuan to appreciate by around 10
percent per annum is still valid despite the static renminbi
(yuan) in April," they said in a note.
On Monday China posted a solid trade surplus of $16.7
billion for April, despite the U.S. economic slowdown.
Also on Monday, China's central bank raised banks' reserve
requirements for the fourth time this year to mop up
liquidity.
CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR
Change on the day at 0303 GMT
Currency Latest bid Previous day Pct Move
Japan yen 103.79 103.75 -0.04
Sing dlr 1.3663 1.3694 +0.23
Taiwan dlr 30.890 30.850 -0.13
Korean won 1046.20 1041.40 -0.46
Baht 32.25 32.15 -0.31
Peso 42.72 42.66 -0.15
Rupiah 9257.00 9250.00 -0.08
Ringgit 3.2195 3.2150 -0.14
Yuan 6.9918 6.9882 -0.05
Change so far in 2008
Currency Latest bid End prev year Pct Move
Japan yen 103.79 111.33 +7.26
Sing dlr 1.3663 1.4382 +5.26
Taiwan dlr 30.890 32.443 +5.03
Korean won 1046.20 935.70 -10.56
Baht 32.25 33.68 +4.43
Peso 42.72 41.28 -3.37
Rupiah 9257.00 9390.00 +1.44
Rupee 42.05 39.41 -6.27
Ringgit 3.2195 3.3050 +2.66
Yuan 6.9918 7.3041 +4.47
(Reporting by Kevin Yao; Editing by Alan Raybould)
|