Friday July 18, 12:04 PM
Emerging FX-Peso up over 1 pct, won rises on intervention
SINGAPORE, July 18 (Reuters) - The Philippine peso
rose 1.3 percent to a three-week high on Friday after an
aggressive rate rise by the country's central bank that caught
investors by surprise.
The Korean won was also firm, rising 0.3 percent on
suspected dollar-selling intervention and calls by authorities
for the currency to reflect fundamentals.
Other currencies were largely rangebound against a broadly
stronger U.S. dollar, boosted by a fall in oil prices by more
than $5 a barrel and an easing of concerns about the U.S.
financial sector.
The peso rose as high as 44.44 per dollar as local markets
opened before edging back to around 44.53.
Although underpinned by the fall back in oil prices
to around $130, traders said the main support for the currency
followed a decision by the Philippines' central bank, BSP, to
raise interest rates by a hefty half a percentage point on
Thursday to combat 14-year high inflation.
"The market is reacting to BSP's 50-basis-point hike plus
the fall in crude oil last night," said a trader in Manila.
He said he expected the peso to trade within a range of
44.25 and 44.75 on Friday. "There is a huge correction in the
dollar/peso trend at the moment."
The peso has lost 7.3 percent so far this year despite
Friday's gain, a stark contrast to its performance last year
when it topped gainers in Asia by leaping 19 percent.
UBS analysts said they had revised their short-term peso
forecasts and were more bullish on the currency.
"The aggressive tightening stance could however be a clearer
support for the currency, particularly in the short-term given
what we believe is a market that has remained extremely long
dollar/peso in recent weeks. We revise our 1-month and 3-month
dollar/peso forecasts to 44.50 each," a UBS note said.
The South Korean won firmed to 1,009.75 per dollar, and
traders suspected the authorities had sold dollars to buoy the
currency in the fight against inflation.
Verbal intervention occurred before the suspected dollar
sales, when a central bank official was reported to have said
authorities would take action if the won failed to reflect
fundamentals.
The U.S. dollar's strength -- it posted its biggest rise
against the yen in more than three months on Thursday --
limited gains in the Taiwan dollar and weighed on
other currencies, including the Singapore dollar and
Malaysian ringgit.
The ringgit fell by 0.3 percent to a 5-day low of 3.24,
continuing a steady slide this week off the back of fresh
political upheaval, including a sodomy allegation against a
popular Malaysian opposition figure who says the charges are
trumped up and designed to prevent him entering parliament.
[ID:nKLR231395]
CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR
Change on the day at 0254 GMT
Currency Latest bid Previous day Pct Move
Japan yen 106.34 105.38 -0.90
Sing dlr 1.3518 1.3508 -0.07
Taiwan dlr 30.332 30.359 +0.09
Korean won 1011.90 1012.80 +0.09
Baht 33.42 33.52 +0.30
Peso 44.53 45.03 +1.12
Rupiah 9147.00 9140.00 -0.08
Ringgit 3.2385 3.2310 -0.23
Yuan 6.8257 6.8213 -0.06
Change so far in 2008
Currency Latest bid End prev year Pct Move
Japan yen 106.34 111.33 +4.69
Sing dlr 1.3518 1.4382 +6.39
Taiwan dlr 30.332 32.443 +6.96
Korean won 1011.90 935.70 -7.53
Baht 33.42 33.68 +0.78
Peso 44.53 41.28 -7.30
Rupiah 9147.00 9390.00 +2.66
Rupee 42.82 39.41 -7.95
Ringgit 3.2385 3.3050 +2.05
Yuan 6.8257 7.3041 +7.01
(Reporting by Melissa Chia; Editing by Neil Fullick)
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